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That was a tough loss last night in Arlington, but there were some good signs. Other than the big inning the Rangers had, Scott Kazmir looked pretty good. It’s been a while since his stuff has looked that sharp. Tonight the Angels will look to their stopper, Jered Weaver. In Weaver’s last two starts he has 19 strikeouts and has only given up one run. He also has solid career numbers in Arlington with a 3.65 era in 44.1 innings. On the other side, the Rangers will be throwing C.J. Wilson who has been incredible this season posting a 1.48 era in 48 innings. This is unlikely, however, to continue considering where he plays. Look for the Angels to jump off to a good start. Wilson’s last three starts have been against the A’s, Royals, and Mariners. We’ll see how he does against a better offense. Should be another great night in Texas.
AccuScore.com Forecast
AccuScore.com, the leader in sports forecasting, has simulated this game thousands of times one play at a time and the game forecast below is based on these simulations. This is a preliminary forecast and free sports pick. For updates and a detailed sports prediction of this game including a forecasted box score, fantasy projections, and analysis of bets, trends, wagering statistics and AccuScore’s Advisor picks visit AccuScore.com
The Texas Rangers are 14-7 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Los Angeles Angels who are 6-11 on the road this season. The Rangers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer.
Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. C.J. Wilson has a 63% chance of a QS and Jered Weaver a 60% chance. If C.J. Wilson has a quality start the Rangers has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 1.9 and he has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rangers win 67%. If Jered Weaver has a quality start the Angels has a 59% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.1 and he has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Angels win 46%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Vladimir Guerrero who averaged 2.22 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Kendry Morales who averaged 1.9 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 60% chance of winning.
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