Finally, we scored a run. The Angels went homerun happy in the top of the 6th gave Ervin Santana some run support. Santana had a solid outing, and newly promoted closer Fernando Rodney was able to give the Angels their 64th win of the season. The Halos will have a chance to win another game against the Mariners tonight, but it’s gonna be tough against Felix Hernandez. Hernandez has struggled this year against the Angels, allowing 11 earned runs in 19 innings. He’ll face Dan Haren, who had a great outing against the Tampa Bay Rays his last time on the mound. He has a 3.01 career ERA against Seattle, so he should give the Angels a solid chance to win.
AccuScore.com Forecast:
The Seattle Mariners are 30-35 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Los Angeles Angels who are 30-36 on the road this season. The Mariners have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Felix Hernandez has a 67% chance of a QS and Dan Haren a 63% chance. If Felix Hernandez has a quality start the Mariners has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.7 and he has a 54% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mariners win 60%. If Dan Haren has a quality start the Angels has a 57% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 8.1 and he has a 65% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Angels win 46%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Ichiro Suzuki who averaged 1.85 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Torii Hunter who averaged 1.59 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 22% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 64% chance of winning.
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ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore’s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore’s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (2010 SEASON) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 32-34, 48% -456 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 34-31, 52% +68 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 8-5, 62% +281 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 4-9, 31% -547
MONEY LINE (2010 SEASON) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 33-33, 50% -795 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 39-26, 60% +569 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 7-6, 54% -58 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 6-7, 46% -195
OVER-UNDER RECORD (2010 SEASON) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 21-26, 45% -760 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 17-29, 37% -1490 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 6-3, 67% + 270 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 6-4, 60% + 160
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