A day off to refocus and hopefully collect ourselves for a big series in Oakland. Both teams are tied for wins in the division, and 10 games behind the Texas Rangers, who are in Minnesota for the next couple of days. Again, another big opportunity to make up some ground on Texas. Today, we’ll face Gio Gonzalez, who has an impressive 12 wins and 3.23 ERA. Scott Kazmir will be on the mound for the Halos. He’s struggled in his last three outings, lasting less than 6 innings while allowing 11 combined runs. In his last game against Oakland, he absolutely imploded (allowing THIRTEEN runs in 5 innings) and landed on the DL. Today feels like a good day for redemption…
AccuScore.com Forecast:
The Oakland Athletics are 38-27 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Los Angeles Angels who are 31-37 on the road this season. The Athletics have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Athletics’ starter Gio Gonzalez is forecasted to have a better game than Angels’ starter Scott Kazmir. Gio Gonzalez has a 62% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Scott Kazmir has a 44% chance of a QS. If Gio Gonzalez has a quality start the Athletics has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 1.7 and he has a 9% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Athletics win 72%. In Scott Kazmir quality starts the Angels win 59%. He has a 4% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Oakland Athletics is Coco Crisp who averaged 2.34 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Athletics have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Torii Hunter who averaged 1.95 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 53% chance of winning.
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ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore’s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore’s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (2010 SEASON) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 33-35, 49% -480 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 28-37, 43% -1233 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 8-6, 57% +165 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 4-7, 36% -334
MONEY LINE (2010 SEASON) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 34-34, 50% -819 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 29-36, 45% -1518 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 7-7, 50% -174 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 4-7, 36% -404
OVER-UNDER RECORD (2010 SEASON) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 22-27, 45% -770 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 32-18, 64% + 1220 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 8-0, 100% + 800
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