The Angels are now 0-8 against the Boston Red Sox this year after a 6-0 loss yesterday at Fenway Park. And it’s not that the Angels didn’t have their chances. The Angels had a man on second base three times within the first five innings. Erick “I can’t hit an inside off-speed pitch to save my life right now” Aybar had bases loaded twice and couldn’t deliver in either situation. Overall, the Angels left 9 on base and only had one extra base hit. The loss puts the Halos back to .500, and 8 games out of first with 42 games left on the season. Luckily, the Tampa Bay Rays stomped on the Texas Rangers, keeping us within reach. Hopefully they can keep losing, and we can actually win one tonight against former Angel John Lackey, who has pitched extremely well against the Halos. He’s allowed 3 runs in 14 innings, while striking out 8 in 2 wins. The Angels will send out Scott Kazmir, who has done very well since coming off the DL. We’ll need him to pitch well again, but we need the offense to put some runs on the board.
AccuScore.com Forecast:
The Boston Red Sox are 35-23 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Los Angeles Angels who are 27-33 on the road this season. The Red Sox have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Red Sox’ starter John Lackey is forecasted to have a better game than Angels’ starter Scott Kazmir. John Lackey has a 50% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Scott Kazmir has a 29% chance of a QS. If John Lackey has a quality start the Red Sox has a 88% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 1.8 and he has a 13% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 78%. In Scott Kazmir quality starts the Angels win 62%. He has a 2% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Adrian Beltre who averaged 3.29 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 62% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 77% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Torii Hunter who averaged 2.12 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 42% chance of winning.
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ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore’s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore’s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (2010 SEASON) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 28-32, 47% -680 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 25-33, 43% -908 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 8-5, 62% +349 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 4-4, 50% -156
MONEY LINE (2010 SEASON) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 29-31, 48% -895 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 34-24, 59% -86 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 7-6, 54% -149 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 5-3, 62% -8
OVER-UNDER RECORD (2010 SEASON) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 19-24, 44% -740 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 21-24, 47% -540 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 6-3, 67% + 270 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 5-2, 71% + 280
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