We had a total of 18 players on base yesterday (17 via hits and a Rivera walk), but we were only able to bring in 7 runs. The game looked like it was out of reach in the after Ervin Santana was yanked in the fourth for allowing 9 earned runs. But a rain delay rejuvenated the Angels, and they knocked in 6 more runs (could have been 7 if Torii didn’t get caught stealing at the top of the 9th). The Halos showed that they could make a comeback, but ultimately, we still lost our second consecutive game to a team with the worst record in baseball. The loss puts us under .500; a position we haven’t been in for over two months. We’ve officially moved into third place in the division, 9 games behind Texas. The game was not completely gloomy; three Angel relievers combined for 2 hits and 2 strikeouts in 4.1 innings of work. Everyone recorded a hit except Jeff Mathis and Alberto Callaspo (who had a bases-loaded pinch hit opportunity before grounding out). Young rookie Peter Bourjos looked awesome in the field and on the bases, recording his first major league hit, steal, and outfield assist. Tonight, strikeout king Dan Haren will get his third start in an Angels uniform, and be matched up against Jake Arrieta, who has a 33:25 BB to K ratio and 5.47 ERA. This is a game that we MUST win. Come on, Halos!
AccuScore.com Forecast:
The Los Angeles Angels are 25-30 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Baltimore Orioles who are 20-33 at home. The Angels have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Angels’ starter Dan Haren is forecasted to have a better game than Angels’ starter Jake Arrieta. Dan Haren has a 58% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jake Arrieta has a 28% chance of a QS. If Dan Haren has a quality start the Angels has a 85% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 7.3 and he has a 62% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Angels win 74%. In Jake Arrieta quality starts the Orioles win 57%. He has a 0% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Ty Wigginton who averaged 1.98 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 46% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Torii Hunter who averaged 2.86 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 77% chance of winning.
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ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore’s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore’s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (2010 SEASON) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 25-30, 45% -744 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 27-26, 51% +168 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 10-4, 71% +523 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 6-6, 50% -109
MONEY LINE (2010 SEASON) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 27-28, 49% -745 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 31-22, 58% +232 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 10-4, 71% +338 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 9-3, 75% +378
OVER-UNDER RECORD (2010 SEASON) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 16-23, 41% -930 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 24-13, 65% + 970 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 7-2, 78% + 480 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 6-2, 75% + 380
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