WOW! Did Torii get fired up or what? He’s suspended for four games, but we won the series against the Detroit Tigers. And that’s what we needed: a little passion. As a result, Jered Weaver pitched an awesome game, Fernando Rodney had a solid inning, and Brian Fuentes secured his 21st save of the year with two strike-outs. The Halos won the second one in commanding fashion in Scott Kazmir’s return from the DL (hopefully a good sign of things to come), but the third game really slipped away. Young Trevor Bell started out great, but he let it get away at the end, and Scot Shields gave up some more runs. Plus, we played extreme small ball and had Maicer Izturis bat clean-up. But today we’ll get a chance to take on the Kansas City Royals, another AL Central team with a sub .500 record. We’ll send out Ervin Santana, who has been struggling as of late (13 ER in 9.2 innings) and face former Angel Sean O’Sullivan. The Angels are 4-3 against them this year, and need to make it 7-3 after this series in order to gain some ground on the Texas Rangers. We are 9 games behind them, and sitting in third in the division. Go Halos!
AccuScore.com Forecast:
The Los Angeles Angels are 29-25 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 24-35 on the road this season. The Angels have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Angels’ starter Ervin Santana is forecasted to have a better game than Royals’ starter Sean O`Sullivan. Ervin Santana has a 61% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Sean O`Sullivan has a 50% chance of a QS. If Ervin Santana has a quality start the Angels has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.5 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Angels win 66%. In Sean O`Sullivan quality starts the Royals win 63%. He has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Mike Napoli who averaged 2.04 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 72% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Wilson Betemit who averaged 2.02 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 58% chance of winning.
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ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore’s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore’s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (2010 SEASON) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 23-36, 39% -111 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 28-26, 52% +289 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 3-9, 25% -291 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 4-6, 40% -171
MONEY LINE (2010 SEASON) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 28-31, 47% -1364 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 28-26, 52% -314 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 8-4, 67% -6 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 5-5, 50% -88
OVER-UNDER RECORD (2010 SEASON) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 22-20, 52% 0 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 21-20, 51% -100 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 4-5, 44% -150 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 3-3, 50% -30
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