Dan Haren finally got his first win as an Angel yesterday in a 3-1 victory over the Kansas City Royals. Haren snapped a 10-game losing streak, pitching a solid 7 innings and allowing only one run. Angel relievers wrapped up the final two innings, but the Halos are still 8.5 games behind Texas after David Murphy knocked in the game-winning run in extra innings over the New York Yankees. But back to a team we don’t hate…the Angels! We’re back to playing our style of baseball. Suicide squeeze with Peter Bourjos and Howie Kendrick in the fifth, three doubles, a triple and a sacrifice RBI. Bobby Abreu continues to do well at the lead off spot, going 5-for-7 with 4 RBIs, 4 runs, 2 doubles and a homerun in the past 2 games. The Angels have a chance to sweep in an afternoon game featuring two aces. Jered Weaver will be on the mound for the Angels, and he’ll face Zach Greinke, who has a bloated 4.14 ERA which has nearly doubled from his 2.16 he had last year. He’s been struggling as of late, and we need to continue to do what we have done throughout this series: jump out early and maintain the lead.
AccuScore.com Forecast:
The Los Angeles Angels are 31-25 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 24-37 on the road this season. The Angels have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Angels’ starter Jered Weaver is forecasted to have a better game than Royals’ starter Zack Greinke. Jered Weaver has a 81% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Zack Greinke has a 59% chance of a QS. If Jered Weaver has a quality start the Angels has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 9.1 and he has a 70% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Angels win 71%. In Zack Greinke quality starts the Royals win 48%. He has a 64% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 48% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Alberto Callaspo who averaged 1.81 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 82% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Wilson Betemit who averaged 1.51 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 20% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 55% chance of winning.
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ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore’s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore’s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (2010 SEASON) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 24-37, 39% -169 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 29-27, 52% +231 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 4-8, 33% -149 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 5-7, 42% -229
MONEY LINE (2010 SEASON) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 30-31, 49% -1274 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 30-26, 54% -224 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 8-4, 67% -31 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 7-5, 58% +2
OVER-UNDER RECORD (2010 SEASON) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 22-22, 50% -220 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 21-22, 49% -320 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 3-7, 30% -470 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 3-5, 38% -250
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