There we go! What’s how Angels baseball is supposed to be played. Get ahead early and maintain the lead. Steal a couple of bases and string together some hits in order to create some runs. I can not say enough about the hard play and hustle exhibited by young Peter Bourjos. And Scioscia’s decision to move Abreu to the lead off position really seems to be working out. Santana pitched a quality 6.2 innings, and our relievers finished the job. Fernando Rodney gave up a run, and Brian Fuentes went back to making things “interesting” in the 9th, but he got it done and the Angels won the first of the three game series. Today, we’ll throw out Dan Haren, who is still looking for his first win as an Angel (He actually hasn’t recorded a win since mid-June). He’ll be matched up against spot-starting reliever Byran Bullington, getting his first start since 2008 in place of a mechanically deficient Brian Bannister. The Rangers are matched up against the Yankees, and this could be a great time to move up in the standings.
AccuScore.com Forecast:
The Los Angeles Angels are 30-25 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 24-36 on the road this season. The Angels have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Angels’ starter Dan Haren is forecasted to have a better game than Royals’ starter Bryan Bullington. Dan Haren has a 67% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Bryan Bullington has a 22% chance of a QS. If Dan Haren has a quality start the Angels has a 90% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 7.4 and he has a 60% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Angels win 82%. In Bryan Bullington quality starts the Royals win 49%. He has a 1% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 49% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Alberto Callaspo who averaged 2.74 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 50% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 84% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Wilson Betemit who averaged 1.75 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 25% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 39% chance of winning.
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ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore’s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore’s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (2010 SEASON) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 23-37, 38% -211 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 28-27, 51% +189 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 3-9, 25% -291 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 4-7, 36% -271
MONEY LINE (2010 SEASON) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 29-31, 48% -1316 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 29-26, 53% -266 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 8-4, 67% -14 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 6-5, 55% -40
OVER-UNDER RECORD (2010 SEASON) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 22-21, 51% -110 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 21-21, 50% -210 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 4-6, 40% -260 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 3-4, 43% -140
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