Go Halos

Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners 9/1

Tony C — Wed, 01 Sep 2010 21:58:26 +0000

Yesterday, we witnessed yet another eighth inning meltdown by our bullpen. Dan Haren pitched another solid game for the Angels and still came up short. Howie Kendrick and Alberto Callaspo gave him some run support in the top of the inning, but reliever Kevin Jepsen let one slip through by allowing three runs. On top of that, we had a chance to go up a game against the Texas Rangers after a 10-9 loss the the Kansas City Royals. Now, the Angels must win against lefty Jason Vargas, who has a 1.71 ERA against the Angels in 21 innings this year. We’ll throw out Trevor Bell, who had his first solid outing of the year against the Baltimore Orioles. Kansas City is doing their job against the Rangers, we need to do our job to win this series against the Mariners.

Accuscore.com Forecast:

The Seattle Mariners are 31-35 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Los Angeles Angels who are 30-37 on the road this season. The Mariners have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mariners’ starter Jason Vargas is forecasted to have a better game than Angels’ starter Trevor Bell. Jason Vargas has a 66% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Trevor Bell has a 44% chance of a QS. If Jason Vargas has a quality start the Mariners has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.3 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mariners win 69%. In Trevor Bell quality starts the Angels win 59%. He has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Ichiro Suzuki who averaged 2.33 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Torii Hunter who averaged 1.81 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 59% chance of winning.

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ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore’s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore’s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (2010 SEASON) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 33-34, 49% -380 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 35-31, 53% +144 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 9-5, 64% +357 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 5-9, 36% -471

MONEY LINE (2010 SEASON) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 34-33, 51% -719 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 40-26, 61% +645 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 8-6, 57% +18 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 7-7, 50% -119

OVER-UNDER RECORD (2010 SEASON) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 22-26, 46% -660 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 18-29, 38% -1390 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 7-3, 70% + 370 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 7-4, 64% + 260

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Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners 8/31

Tony C — Tue, 31 Aug 2010 20:45:41 +0000

Finally, we scored a run. The Angels went homerun happy in the top of the 6th gave Ervin Santana some run support. Santana had a solid outing, and newly promoted closer Fernando Rodney was able to give the Angels their 64th win of the season. The Halos will have a chance to win another game against the Mariners tonight, but it’s gonna be tough against Felix Hernandez. Hernandez has struggled this year against the Angels, allowing 11 earned runs in 19 innings. He’ll face Dan Haren, who had a great outing against the Tampa Bay Rays his last time on the mound. He has a 3.01 career ERA against Seattle, so he should give the Angels a solid chance to win.

AccuScore.com Forecast:

The Seattle Mariners are 30-35 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Los Angeles Angels who are 30-36 on the road this season. The Mariners have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Felix Hernandez has a 67% chance of a QS and Dan Haren a 63% chance. If Felix Hernandez has a quality start the Mariners has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.7 and he has a 54% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mariners win 60%. If Dan Haren has a quality start the Angels has a 57% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 8.1 and he has a 65% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Angels win 46%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Ichiro Suzuki who averaged 1.85 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Torii Hunter who averaged 1.59 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 22% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 64% chance of winning.

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SIDE VALUE (2010 SEASON) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 32-34, 48% -456 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 34-31, 52% +68 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 8-5, 62% +281 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 4-9, 31% -547

MONEY LINE (2010 SEASON) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 33-33, 50% -795 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 39-26, 60% +569 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 7-6, 54% -58 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 6-7, 46% -195

OVER-UNDER RECORD (2010 SEASON) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 21-26, 45% -760 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 17-29, 37% -1490 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 6-3, 67% + 270 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 6-4, 60% + 160

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From Here On Out

Halo48 — Fri, 27 Aug 2010 15:10:26 +0000

After a convincing 12-3 win yesterday against the Tampa Bay Rays, the Angels find themselves 2 games below .500 and third in the AL West. After sweeping the Kansas City Royals earlier this month, the Angels faced some tough competition (Toronto, Boston, Minnesota and Tampa Bay) and have come out 4-8. Because they lost two-thirds of their games during that span, they are 10 games behind the Texas Rangers with 34 contests left in the year (18 home, 16 away). The climb to first seems so far away right now, but the Rangers are having trouble holding on to the top spot. There is still hope after looking at the upcoming schedule!

BALTIMORE ORIOLES
Record/Place: 45-82/5th AL East
Winning Percentage: .354
Last 10 Games: 4-6

The Angels trail the series 3-0 this year against the Baltimore Orioles. This team has seen new life after a managerial change, but still has the second worst record in all of baseball. They’ll be playing at Angels stadium, and the O’s have an 18-44 road record.

SEATTLE MARINERS

Record/Place: 50-77/4th AL West
Winning Percentage.394
Last 10 Games: 4-6

The Mariners have struggled against the Angels all year, only taking 3 games out of the 13 that they’ve played. The Angels will play two series against them; one at home and one in Seattle. This looks like it could be six games in the bag for the Halos.

OAKLAND ATHLETICS
Record/Place: 63-62/2nd AL West
Winning Percentage: .504
Last 10 Games: 6-4

The Angels are 7-6 against the Athletics this year (3-4 on the road and 4-2 at home). Both teams will host a series, and we know that Oakland is not a team to be taken lightly. However, they are a very beatable team.

CLEVELAND INDIANS
Record/Place: 50-76/5th AL Central
Winning Percentage: .397
Last 10 Games: 2-8

The Indians hosted a series early in the season, and lost two out of three. They are currently 26th in runs, 27th in batting average, and 26th in ERA. The Angels will play a series at home and on the road, and again, this could be six wins against another team under .400.

TAMPA BAY RAYS
Record/Place: 78-49/2nd AL East
Winning Percentage: .614
Last 10 Games: 7-3

We just saw them here, and we know what they can do. Right now, they hold the AL Wildcard spot. They have a ton of tough games ahead of them, facing the Yankees the Red Sox a couple of times. They could be worn down the next time they host the Angels for a 3-game series in Tampa Bay.

TEXAS RANGERS
Record/Place: 72-54/1st AL West
Winning Percentage: .571
Last 10 Games: 5-5

We are going to have to absolutely play our asses off against the Rangers. The Angels will host a 3-game series before concluding their season with a 4-game series in Texas. Yea, that’s right, the Angels post-season future could depend on whether or not the Angels can close out the first place Rangers at home.

CHICAGO WHITE SOX
Record/Place: 68-58/2nd AL Central
Winning Percentage: .540
Last 10 Games: 3-7

The Angels won a quick 2-game series against Chicago early in the year, but then lost four straight to the White Sox on the road. Frankly, Chicago embarrassed us offensively, as they outscored the Angels 19-5 earlier in July. The White Sox look like they may be derailing a little bit, going 3-7 in their last 10 games, and their schedule doesn’t get much easier. Again, the Angels have beat them before this season; they need to do it again.

The Angels will play three teams under .400 as well as the A’s who, who barely have a winning record. The Halos will have to dig deep and figure out how they are going to win a majority of these games and take first place from Texas. We’ve put ourselves in a big hole, but the important thing is, we can still climb out by playing some solid baseball. Go Halos!

Kevin H

Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Angels 8/23

Tony C — Mon, 23 Aug 2010 20:27:57 +0000

For a second, I had questioned why Juan Rivera hadn’t played for five days. On Friday, he reminded me why he was riding the pine…
The Rangers have really struggled this month, and are currently 8-11 in the month of August, giving the Angels every opportunity to take first place. And all we’ve had to do is beat teams like Baltimore, Detroit, Kansas City, and Toronto. If the Angels had won two games in every series (which, on paper, seems like it could have been pretty manageable), they would be 13-6 and only four games out of first. Instead, the Halos are having trouble stringing together wins and are 9-10 in August. We can sweep the Kansas City Royals, but get swept by the Baltimore Orioles. We can play a solid six innings, but blow the last three. There is no consistency, and that’s what kills all of the loyal fans. It’s hard enough to see them lose; it’s worse to see how good they can be and still blow it. The AL West is the only division in baseball that doesn’t have a first place team with at least 70 wins because the Rangers keep losing, yet we can’t catch them. They’re going to face a tough opponent tonight as they head back home to host the Tampa Bay Rays, who hold the second best record in baseball. Scott Kazmir will face his old team, and allowed 3 runs in five innings in a game earlier in May. He’ll match up against James Shield, who has pitched well against the Angels throughout his career, throwing 2 complete games and recording 41 strikeouts with a 3.18 ERA. These games will be tough, but if we can take the series, it could be a huge boost of confidence for the Angels.

AccuScore.com Forecast:

The Tampa Bay Rays are 37-24 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Los Angeles Angels who are 33-27 at home. The Rays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rays’ starter James Shields is forecasted to have a better game than Rays’ starter Scott Kazmir. James Shields has a 49% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Scott Kazmir has a 39% chance of a QS. If James Shields has a quality start the Rays has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.2 and he has a 49% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 68%. In Scott Kazmir quality starts the Angels win 66%. He has a 6% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Torii Hunter who averaged 2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 55% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Carl Crawford who averaged 2.81 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 50% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 70% chance of winning.

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SIDE VALUE (2010 SEASON) – Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 30-31, 49% -1290 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 30-30, 50% -10 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 6-6, 50% -174 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 4-8, 33% -484

MONEY LINE (2010 SEASON) – Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 35-26, 57% +226 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 31-29, 52% -466 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 7-5, 58% +77 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 5-7, 42% -336

OVER-UNDER RECORD (2010 SEASON) – Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 24-27, 47% -570 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 22-24, 48% -440 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) – Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 5-4, 56% + 60 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 2-6, 25% -460

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Shut Up Part Deuce

Chaz — Mon, 23 Aug 2010 16:51:38 +0000

Last week, I targeted those who encourage others to give up on this year’s Angels. This made many of you upset, so let me clarify.

As I stated before, this has nothing to do with the realists. The Angels have only an outside chance of making the playoffs, and there is nothing wrong with talking about that. What I’m talking about comes from both the media and the fan base, and goes back to the Kendry Morales injury. It is almost as if there’s a prize for who predicts the demise of the Angels first, and anyone who thinks differently is simply uninformed. Most of you know that I was hard on Tony Reagins for not resigning Vlad and Figgins, but never once did I advocate giving up on this season.

As far am I’m concerned, baseball is the greatest sport on earth, and I could care less when the football season starts. I like football, but if my Angels are on TV on Sunday at 1pm (regardless of where they are in the standings), you can be sure I won’t be watching the Raiders vs. whoever the hell they are playing.

Again, a playoff birth is improbable, not impossible. Just because the Angels haven’t done it yet doesn’t mean they can’t. Do I have to remind you of an extremely mediocre Philadelphia team that overcame a 7-game Mets division lead in September. Call me crazy, but until I see a Rangers dog pile at the mound, I will keep hope.

Tony C

Shut Up And Stop Ruining It For The Rest Of Us!

Chaz — Thu, 19 Aug 2010 17:35:00 +0000

It is no secret that the Angels are hurting. Texas is giving us every opportunity to get back in this series, and we are not seizing the opportunity. But as much as it stings to see our bullpen blow a lead with walks and hit batters, this is when we must show our true colors.

A division win at this point seems impossible, but in reality, it’s simply improbable. Even this late in the season, I can’t help but focus on how many Angels are under-performing, and how many Rangers are exceeding their expectations. I’m a stats guy. Typically, as many of you fantasy lovers know, players do what they are supposed to do (with many exceptions of course). I can’t help but expect at least a few players, hitters, and pitchers to finish closer to their career marks. If that happens, we can make a run.

Football means nothing right now, and the Angels are still playing baseball. As a die hard fan, that means that I will watch them and cheer for them regardless of where they are in the standings. If you have lost interest, that’s fine, but stop trying to bring everyone else down with you. I can’t tell you how frustrating it is to defend myself to other Angels fans for being hopeful. I understand if you have given up, but why do you have to convince others to do the same?

To be clear, this article is not directed at those who are simply realistic. Most of you who have lost faith are still cheering your team and I commend you for that. But the few naysayers out there are pissing me off more than Red Sox fans. Yes I said it.

To conclude, SHUT UP AND STOP RUINING IT FOR THE REST OF US!

Tony C

Los Angeles Angels vs Boston Red Sox 8/18

Tony C — Wed, 18 Aug 2010 19:29:10 +0000

The Angels are now 0-8 against the Boston Red Sox this year after a 6-0 loss yesterday at Fenway Park. And it’s not that the Angels didn’t have their chances. The Angels had a man on second base three times within the first five innings. Erick “I can’t hit an inside off-speed pitch to save my life right now” Aybar had bases loaded twice and couldn’t deliver in either situation. Overall, the Angels left 9 on base and only had one extra base hit. The loss puts the Halos back to .500, and 8 games out of first with 42 games left on the season. Luckily, the Tampa Bay Rays stomped on the Texas Rangers, keeping us within reach. Hopefully they can keep losing, and we can actually win one tonight against former Angel John Lackey, who has pitched extremely well against the Halos. He’s allowed 3 runs in 14 innings, while striking out 8 in 2 wins. The Angels will send out Scott Kazmir, who has done very well since coming off the DL. We’ll need him to pitch well again, but we need the offense to put some runs on the board.

AccuScore.com Forecast:

The Boston Red Sox are 35-23 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Los Angeles Angels who are 27-33 on the road this season. The Red Sox have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Red Sox’ starter John Lackey is forecasted to have a better game than Angels’ starter Scott Kazmir. John Lackey has a 50% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Scott Kazmir has a 29% chance of a QS. If John Lackey has a quality start the Red Sox has a 88% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 1.8 and he has a 13% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 78%. In Scott Kazmir quality starts the Angels win 62%. He has a 2% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Adrian Beltre who averaged 3.29 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 62% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 77% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Torii Hunter who averaged 2.12 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 42% chance of winning.

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SIDE VALUE (2010 SEASON) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 28-32, 47% -680 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 25-33, 43% -908 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 8-5, 62% +349 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 4-4, 50% -156

MONEY LINE (2010 SEASON) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 29-31, 48% -895 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 34-24, 59% -86 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 7-6, 54% -149 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 5-3, 62% -8

OVER-UNDER RECORD (2010 SEASON) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 19-24, 44% -740 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 21-24, 47% -540 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 6-3, 67% + 270 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 5-2, 71% + 280

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Kansas City Royals vs Los Angeles Angels 8/11

Tony C — Wed, 11 Aug 2010 18:41:23 +0000

Dan Haren finally got his first win as an Angel yesterday in a 3-1 victory over the Kansas City Royals. Haren snapped a 10-game losing streak, pitching a solid 7 innings and allowing only one run. Angel relievers wrapped up the final two innings, but the Halos are still 8.5 games behind Texas after David Murphy knocked in the game-winning run in extra innings over the New York Yankees. But back to a team we don’t hate…the Angels! We’re back to playing our style of baseball. Suicide squeeze with Peter Bourjos and Howie Kendrick in the fifth, three doubles, a triple and a sacrifice RBI. Bobby Abreu continues to do well at the lead off spot, going 5-for-7 with 4 RBIs, 4 runs, 2 doubles and a homerun in the past 2 games. The Angels have a chance to sweep in an afternoon game featuring two aces. Jered Weaver will be on the mound for the Angels, and he’ll face Zach Greinke, who has a bloated 4.14 ERA which has nearly doubled from his 2.16 he had last year. He’s been struggling as of late, and we need to continue to do what we have done throughout this series: jump out early and maintain the lead.

AccuScore.com Forecast:

The Los Angeles Angels are 31-25 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 24-37 on the road this season. The Angels have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Angels’ starter Jered Weaver is forecasted to have a better game than Royals’ starter Zack Greinke. Jered Weaver has a 81% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Zack Greinke has a 59% chance of a QS. If Jered Weaver has a quality start the Angels has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 9.1 and he has a 70% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Angels win 71%. In Zack Greinke quality starts the Royals win 48%. He has a 64% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 48% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Alberto Callaspo who averaged 1.81 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 82% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Wilson Betemit who averaged 1.51 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 20% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 55% chance of winning.

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SIDE VALUE (2010 SEASON) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 24-37, 39% -169 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 29-27, 52% +231 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 4-8, 33% -149 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 5-7, 42% -229

MONEY LINE (2010 SEASON) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 30-31, 49% -1274 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 30-26, 54% -224 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 8-4, 67% -31 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 7-5, 58% +2

OVER-UNDER RECORD (2010 SEASON) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 22-22, 50% -220 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 21-22, 49% -320 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 3-7, 30% -470 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 3-5, 38% -250

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