7 hits, 1 run and 2 errors. Can’t win games like that, and last night’s outcome proved it. We hung around til the 5th inning, but after Travis Hafner ended Trevor Bell’s night, Francisco Rodriguez handed he game to the Indians after allowing 2 walks and a grand slam. We now have lost two games against a last place AL Central team, and have one final chance to make sure we don’t get swept. We’ll send out Scott Kazmir, who walked 6 in his last loss to the Oakland A’s. Kazmir hasn’t won a game in over a month, and he’ll try again today against rookie Josh Tomlin. He’s won his last two starts. The Angels aren’t out of the hunt yet, but they will be if they keep losing. As always, another must-win game for the Halos.
AccuScore.com Forecast:
The Los Angeles Angels are 34-34 at home this season and the Cleveland Indians are 28-43 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Scott Kazmir has a 45% chance of a QS and Josh Tomlin a 48% chance. If Scott Kazmir has a quality start the Angels has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 1 and he has a 3% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Angels win 57%. If Josh Tomlin has a quality start the Indians has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Indians win 63%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Torii Hunter who averaged 2.22 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Indians is Shin-Soo Choo who averaged 2.65 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Indians have a 65% chance of winning.
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ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore’s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore’s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (2010 SEASON) – Cleveland Indians Road Games: 40-31, 56% +1285 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 34-34, 50% +135 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Cleveland Indians Road Games: 4-8, 33% -75 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 6-8, 43% -154
MONEY LINE (2010 SEASON) – Cleveland Indians Road Games: 43-28, 61% -232 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 32-36, 47% -1092 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Cleveland Indians Road Games: 7-5, 58% -8 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 4-10, 29% -777
OVER-UNDER RECORD (2010 SEASON) – Cleveland Indians Road Games: 28-27, 51% -170 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 24-30, 44% -900 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) – Cleveland Indians Road Games: 4-6, 40% -260 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 3-10, 23% -800
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