Go Halos » Angels Pregame

Cleveland Indians vs Los Angeles Angels 9/8

Tony C — Wed, 08 Sep 2010 18:49:53 +0000

7 hits, 1 run and 2 errors. Can’t win games like that, and last night’s outcome proved it. We hung around til the 5th inning, but after Travis Hafner ended Trevor Bell’s night, Francisco Rodriguez handed he game to the Indians after allowing 2 walks and a grand slam. We now have lost two games against a last place AL Central team, and have one final chance to make sure we don’t get swept. We’ll send out Scott Kazmir, who walked 6 in his last loss to the Oakland A’s. Kazmir hasn’t won a game in over a month, and he’ll try again today against rookie Josh Tomlin. He’s won his last two starts. The Angels aren’t out of the hunt yet, but they will be if they keep losing. As always, another must-win game for the Halos.

AccuScore.com Forecast:

The Los Angeles Angels are 34-34 at home this season and the Cleveland Indians are 28-43 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Scott Kazmir has a 45% chance of a QS and Josh Tomlin a 48% chance. If Scott Kazmir has a quality start the Angels has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 1 and he has a 3% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Angels win 57%. If Josh Tomlin has a quality start the Indians has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Indians win 63%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Torii Hunter who averaged 2.22 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Indians is Shin-Soo Choo who averaged 2.65 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Indians have a 65% chance of winning.

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ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore’s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore’s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (2010 SEASON) – Cleveland Indians Road Games: 40-31, 56% +1285 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 34-34, 50% +135 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Cleveland Indians Road Games: 4-8, 33% -75 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 6-8, 43% -154

MONEY LINE (2010 SEASON) – Cleveland Indians Road Games: 43-28, 61% -232 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 32-36, 47% -1092 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Cleveland Indians Road Games: 7-5, 58% -8 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 4-10, 29% -777

OVER-UNDER RECORD (2010 SEASON) – Cleveland Indians Road Games: 28-27, 51% -170 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 24-30, 44% -900 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) – Cleveland Indians Road Games: 4-6, 40% -260 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 3-10, 23% -800

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Los Angeles Angels vs Oakland Athletics 9/3

Tony C — Fri, 03 Sep 2010 21:39:14 +0000

A day off to refocus and hopefully collect ourselves for a big series in Oakland. Both teams are tied for wins in the division, and 10 games behind the Texas Rangers, who are in Minnesota for the next couple of days. Again, another big opportunity to make up some ground on Texas. Today, we’ll face Gio Gonzalez, who has an impressive 12 wins and 3.23 ERA. Scott Kazmir will be on the mound for the Halos. He’s struggled in his last three outings, lasting less than 6 innings while allowing 11 combined runs. In his last game against Oakland, he absolutely imploded (allowing THIRTEEN runs in 5 innings) and landed on the DL. Today feels like a good day for redemption…

AccuScore.com Forecast:

The Oakland Athletics are 38-27 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Los Angeles Angels who are 31-37 on the road this season. The Athletics have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Athletics’ starter Gio Gonzalez is forecasted to have a better game than Angels’ starter Scott Kazmir. Gio Gonzalez has a 62% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Scott Kazmir has a 44% chance of a QS. If Gio Gonzalez has a quality start the Athletics has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 1.7 and he has a 9% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Athletics win 72%. In Scott Kazmir quality starts the Angels win 59%. He has a 4% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Oakland Athletics is Coco Crisp who averaged 2.34 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Athletics have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Torii Hunter who averaged 1.95 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 53% chance of winning.

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SIDE VALUE (2010 SEASON) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 33-35, 49% -480 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 28-37, 43% -1233 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 8-6, 57% +165 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 4-7, 36% -334

MONEY LINE (2010 SEASON) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 34-34, 50% -819 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 29-36, 45% -1518 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 7-7, 50% -174 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 4-7, 36% -404

OVER-UNDER RECORD (2010 SEASON) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 22-27, 45% -770 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 32-18, 64% + 1220 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 8-0, 100% + 800

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Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners 9/1

Tony C — Wed, 01 Sep 2010 21:58:26 +0000

Yesterday, we witnessed yet another eighth inning meltdown by our bullpen. Dan Haren pitched another solid game for the Angels and still came up short. Howie Kendrick and Alberto Callaspo gave him some run support in the top of the inning, but reliever Kevin Jepsen let one slip through by allowing three runs. On top of that, we had a chance to go up a game against the Texas Rangers after a 10-9 loss the the Kansas City Royals. Now, the Angels must win against lefty Jason Vargas, who has a 1.71 ERA against the Angels in 21 innings this year. We’ll throw out Trevor Bell, who had his first solid outing of the year against the Baltimore Orioles. Kansas City is doing their job against the Rangers, we need to do our job to win this series against the Mariners.

Accuscore.com Forecast:

The Seattle Mariners are 31-35 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Los Angeles Angels who are 30-37 on the road this season. The Mariners have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mariners’ starter Jason Vargas is forecasted to have a better game than Angels’ starter Trevor Bell. Jason Vargas has a 66% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Trevor Bell has a 44% chance of a QS. If Jason Vargas has a quality start the Mariners has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.3 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mariners win 69%. In Trevor Bell quality starts the Angels win 59%. He has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Ichiro Suzuki who averaged 2.33 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Torii Hunter who averaged 1.81 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 59% chance of winning.

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SIDE VALUE (2010 SEASON) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 33-34, 49% -380 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 35-31, 53% +144 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 9-5, 64% +357 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 5-9, 36% -471

MONEY LINE (2010 SEASON) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 34-33, 51% -719 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 40-26, 61% +645 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 8-6, 57% +18 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 7-7, 50% -119

OVER-UNDER RECORD (2010 SEASON) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 22-26, 46% -660 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 18-29, 38% -1390 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 7-3, 70% + 370 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 7-4, 64% + 260

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Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners 8/31

Tony C — Tue, 31 Aug 2010 20:45:41 +0000

Finally, we scored a run. The Angels went homerun happy in the top of the 6th gave Ervin Santana some run support. Santana had a solid outing, and newly promoted closer Fernando Rodney was able to give the Angels their 64th win of the season. The Halos will have a chance to win another game against the Mariners tonight, but it’s gonna be tough against Felix Hernandez. Hernandez has struggled this year against the Angels, allowing 11 earned runs in 19 innings. He’ll face Dan Haren, who had a great outing against the Tampa Bay Rays his last time on the mound. He has a 3.01 career ERA against Seattle, so he should give the Angels a solid chance to win.

AccuScore.com Forecast:

The Seattle Mariners are 30-35 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Los Angeles Angels who are 30-36 on the road this season. The Mariners have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Felix Hernandez has a 67% chance of a QS and Dan Haren a 63% chance. If Felix Hernandez has a quality start the Mariners has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.7 and he has a 54% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mariners win 60%. If Dan Haren has a quality start the Angels has a 57% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 8.1 and he has a 65% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Angels win 46%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Ichiro Suzuki who averaged 1.85 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Torii Hunter who averaged 1.59 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 22% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 64% chance of winning.

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SIDE VALUE (2010 SEASON) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 32-34, 48% -456 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 34-31, 52% +68 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 8-5, 62% +281 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 4-9, 31% -547

MONEY LINE (2010 SEASON) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 33-33, 50% -795 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 39-26, 60% +569 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 7-6, 54% -58 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 6-7, 46% -195

OVER-UNDER RECORD (2010 SEASON) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 21-26, 45% -760 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 17-29, 37% -1490 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 6-3, 67% + 270 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 6-4, 60% + 160

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Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Angels 8/23

Tony C — Mon, 23 Aug 2010 20:27:57 +0000

For a second, I had questioned why Juan Rivera hadn’t played for five days. On Friday, he reminded me why he was riding the pine…
The Rangers have really struggled this month, and are currently 8-11 in the month of August, giving the Angels every opportunity to take first place. And all we’ve had to do is beat teams like Baltimore, Detroit, Kansas City, and Toronto. If the Angels had won two games in every series (which, on paper, seems like it could have been pretty manageable), they would be 13-6 and only four games out of first. Instead, the Halos are having trouble stringing together wins and are 9-10 in August. We can sweep the Kansas City Royals, but get swept by the Baltimore Orioles. We can play a solid six innings, but blow the last three. There is no consistency, and that’s what kills all of the loyal fans. It’s hard enough to see them lose; it’s worse to see how good they can be and still blow it. The AL West is the only division in baseball that doesn’t have a first place team with at least 70 wins because the Rangers keep losing, yet we can’t catch them. They’re going to face a tough opponent tonight as they head back home to host the Tampa Bay Rays, who hold the second best record in baseball. Scott Kazmir will face his old team, and allowed 3 runs in five innings in a game earlier in May. He’ll match up against James Shield, who has pitched well against the Angels throughout his career, throwing 2 complete games and recording 41 strikeouts with a 3.18 ERA. These games will be tough, but if we can take the series, it could be a huge boost of confidence for the Angels.

AccuScore.com Forecast:

The Tampa Bay Rays are 37-24 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Los Angeles Angels who are 33-27 at home. The Rays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rays’ starter James Shields is forecasted to have a better game than Rays’ starter Scott Kazmir. James Shields has a 49% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Scott Kazmir has a 39% chance of a QS. If James Shields has a quality start the Rays has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.2 and he has a 49% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 68%. In Scott Kazmir quality starts the Angels win 66%. He has a 6% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Torii Hunter who averaged 2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 55% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Carl Crawford who averaged 2.81 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 50% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 70% chance of winning.

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SIDE VALUE (2010 SEASON) – Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 30-31, 49% -1290 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 30-30, 50% -10 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 6-6, 50% -174 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 4-8, 33% -484

MONEY LINE (2010 SEASON) – Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 35-26, 57% +226 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 31-29, 52% -466 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 7-5, 58% +77 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 5-7, 42% -336

OVER-UNDER RECORD (2010 SEASON) – Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 24-27, 47% -570 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 22-24, 48% -440 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) – Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 5-4, 56% + 60 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 2-6, 25% -460

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Los Angeles Angels vs Boston Red Sox 8/18

Tony C — Wed, 18 Aug 2010 19:29:10 +0000

The Angels are now 0-8 against the Boston Red Sox this year after a 6-0 loss yesterday at Fenway Park. And it’s not that the Angels didn’t have their chances. The Angels had a man on second base three times within the first five innings. Erick “I can’t hit an inside off-speed pitch to save my life right now” Aybar had bases loaded twice and couldn’t deliver in either situation. Overall, the Angels left 9 on base and only had one extra base hit. The loss puts the Halos back to .500, and 8 games out of first with 42 games left on the season. Luckily, the Tampa Bay Rays stomped on the Texas Rangers, keeping us within reach. Hopefully they can keep losing, and we can actually win one tonight against former Angel John Lackey, who has pitched extremely well against the Halos. He’s allowed 3 runs in 14 innings, while striking out 8 in 2 wins. The Angels will send out Scott Kazmir, who has done very well since coming off the DL. We’ll need him to pitch well again, but we need the offense to put some runs on the board.

AccuScore.com Forecast:

The Boston Red Sox are 35-23 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Los Angeles Angels who are 27-33 on the road this season. The Red Sox have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Red Sox’ starter John Lackey is forecasted to have a better game than Angels’ starter Scott Kazmir. John Lackey has a 50% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Scott Kazmir has a 29% chance of a QS. If John Lackey has a quality start the Red Sox has a 88% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 1.8 and he has a 13% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 78%. In Scott Kazmir quality starts the Angels win 62%. He has a 2% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Adrian Beltre who averaged 3.29 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 62% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 77% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Torii Hunter who averaged 2.12 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 42% chance of winning.

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SIDE VALUE (2010 SEASON) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 28-32, 47% -680 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 25-33, 43% -908 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 8-5, 62% +349 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 4-4, 50% -156

MONEY LINE (2010 SEASON) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 29-31, 48% -895 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 34-24, 59% -86 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 7-6, 54% -149 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 5-3, 62% -8

OVER-UNDER RECORD (2010 SEASON) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 19-24, 44% -740 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 21-24, 47% -540 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) – Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 6-3, 67% + 270 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 5-2, 71% + 280

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Kansas City Royals vs Los Angeles Angels 8/11

Tony C — Wed, 11 Aug 2010 18:41:23 +0000

Dan Haren finally got his first win as an Angel yesterday in a 3-1 victory over the Kansas City Royals. Haren snapped a 10-game losing streak, pitching a solid 7 innings and allowing only one run. Angel relievers wrapped up the final two innings, but the Halos are still 8.5 games behind Texas after David Murphy knocked in the game-winning run in extra innings over the New York Yankees. But back to a team we don’t hate…the Angels! We’re back to playing our style of baseball. Suicide squeeze with Peter Bourjos and Howie Kendrick in the fifth, three doubles, a triple and a sacrifice RBI. Bobby Abreu continues to do well at the lead off spot, going 5-for-7 with 4 RBIs, 4 runs, 2 doubles and a homerun in the past 2 games. The Angels have a chance to sweep in an afternoon game featuring two aces. Jered Weaver will be on the mound for the Angels, and he’ll face Zach Greinke, who has a bloated 4.14 ERA which has nearly doubled from his 2.16 he had last year. He’s been struggling as of late, and we need to continue to do what we have done throughout this series: jump out early and maintain the lead.

AccuScore.com Forecast:

The Los Angeles Angels are 31-25 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 24-37 on the road this season. The Angels have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Angels’ starter Jered Weaver is forecasted to have a better game than Royals’ starter Zack Greinke. Jered Weaver has a 81% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Zack Greinke has a 59% chance of a QS. If Jered Weaver has a quality start the Angels has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 9.1 and he has a 70% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Angels win 71%. In Zack Greinke quality starts the Royals win 48%. He has a 64% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 48% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Alberto Callaspo who averaged 1.81 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 82% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Wilson Betemit who averaged 1.51 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 20% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 55% chance of winning.

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SIDE VALUE (2010 SEASON) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 24-37, 39% -169 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 29-27, 52% +231 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 4-8, 33% -149 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 5-7, 42% -229

MONEY LINE (2010 SEASON) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 30-31, 49% -1274 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 30-26, 54% -224 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 8-4, 67% -31 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 7-5, 58% +2

OVER-UNDER RECORD (2010 SEASON) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 22-22, 50% -220 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 21-22, 49% -320 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 3-7, 30% -470 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 3-5, 38% -250

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Kansas City Royals vs Los Angeles Angels 8/10

Tony C — Tue, 10 Aug 2010 20:36:36 +0000

There we go! What’s how Angels baseball is supposed to be played. Get ahead early and maintain the lead. Steal a couple of bases and string together some hits in order to create some runs. I can not say enough about the hard play and hustle exhibited by young Peter Bourjos. And Scioscia’s decision to move Abreu to the lead off position really seems to be working out. Santana pitched a quality 6.2 innings, and our relievers finished the job. Fernando Rodney gave up a run, and Brian Fuentes went back to making things “interesting” in the 9th, but he got it done and the Angels won the first of the three game series. Today, we’ll throw out Dan Haren, who is still looking for his first win as an Angel (He actually hasn’t recorded a win since mid-June). He’ll be matched up against spot-starting reliever Byran Bullington, getting his first start since 2008 in place of a mechanically deficient Brian Bannister. The Rangers are matched up against the Yankees, and this could be a great time to move up in the standings.

AccuScore.com Forecast:

The Los Angeles Angels are 30-25 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 24-36 on the road this season. The Angels have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Angels’ starter Dan Haren is forecasted to have a better game than Royals’ starter Bryan Bullington. Dan Haren has a 67% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Bryan Bullington has a 22% chance of a QS. If Dan Haren has a quality start the Angels has a 90% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 7.4 and he has a 60% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Angels win 82%. In Bryan Bullington quality starts the Royals win 49%. He has a 1% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 49% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Alberto Callaspo who averaged 2.74 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 50% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 84% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Wilson Betemit who averaged 1.75 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 25% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 39% chance of winning.

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SIDE VALUE (2010 SEASON) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 23-37, 38% -211 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 28-27, 51% +189 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 3-9, 25% -291 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 4-7, 36% -271

MONEY LINE (2010 SEASON) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 29-31, 48% -1316 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 29-26, 53% -266 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 8-4, 67% -14 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 6-5, 55% -40

OVER-UNDER RECORD (2010 SEASON) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 22-21, 51% -110 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 21-21, 50% -210 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) – Kansas City Royals Road Games: 4-6, 40% -260 Los Angeles Angels Home Games: 3-4, 43% -140

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